Retweeted by @hey_itsmyturn from @DefenceGeek:
Ok, so to add to this, 8 of the 12 bombers at RAF Fairford have left, and I'm hearing the remaining 4 (including one that only arrived in the last week) are also leaving...

This is now a withdrawal of forces...

#IranWar‌

Quoted tweet from @DefenceGeek:
For those who keep asking me if the US is going to start hitting Iran again soon:

  • Bush carrier strike group is heading away from CENTCOM (possibly for R&R as @mercoglianos suggests)
  • @MATA_osint tracking shows CENTCOM has dropped below 100 aerial refuelling tankers for the first time since March 2026
  • Overall tanker numbers down to ~165 from a peak of 232 during the war
  • Fairford bomber fleet now rarely flying training sorties into the Mediterranean, opting for shorter runs in UK/N Atlantic airspace
  • Fast-jets being rotated (with mostly F-16s being sent into CENTCOM)
  • Electronic Warfare/Attack aircraft numbers reduced (for now) - down to 7x EA-18G (on land) and 1x EA-37B (which I understand is expected to leave soon too)
  • Politicial willpower in the US shifting given the upcoming midterm elections & an ongoing possibility of Operations in Cuba in the coming months
  • Very public assessment that anti-air and anti-missile defence kit is depleted and production isn't as high as it needs to be
  • Emphasis being made on the naval blockade of Iran and economic sanctions

My assessment is that while the US resuming strikes on Iran is possible at any moment, it is looking increasingly unlikely in the short-mid term at least